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Set your band — the range you believe the answer landed in.
what usually happens in a year like this
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Size it. Winning is optional; surviving is not.
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One question a day about one real year of one real market. The year is on the card; the instrument stays hidden.
1 · Band. Drag the handles around where you think the answer landed. The grey bars show what usually happens — tighter bands pay more.
2 · Size. Stake 1–40% of your chips.
3 · Lock. The real tape replays. Inside 🎯 you're paid the quoted multiple. Outside 💀 the stake burns.
The house keeps 8% of every bet, so guessing loses slowly. If your account can't post the 25-chip minimum, it's dead — obituary, headstone, fresh 1,000 tomorrow, and a permanent scar on your record.
Chips are play money and can never be bought. Every answer is computed from bars that actually traded (split- and dividend-adjusted); every reveal shows the tape plus a provenance hash so you can check the arithmetic. Real history — never advice.